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Friday, May 16, 2014

Rising Sun

Japan considers rearming.

Like most Americans, I have mixed feelings about this. On one hand they've been a loyal ally and trading partner since World War II. I trained with Japanese troops at one point in my military career. I was both impressed with their skills and quite comfortable around the Japanese soldiers, who were the soul of friendliness and consummate hosts. On the other hand.... well, World War II.

However, with China rapidly building up their military and making aggressive noises, Japan would be little more than a speed bump at their current force levels. Either way, we get pulled into a naval war in the Pacific Rim, so it makes some sense to re-arm Japan as our ally. China is against it, of course, and that alone is nearly reason enough to support it. The Chinese have a bone to pick with Japan -- rightfully so, I hasten to add -- and communist expansionism makes for a volatile brew when mixed with a grudge.

Then there are the fools who don't learn from history at all:

Experts say many of the scenarios are unlikely because they assume the outbreak of a full-scale war...


Ah, yes. The self-proclaimed experts. Let's look at their track record:

1648 - "Whew! Well, thank God that'll never happen again!"
1816 - "Whew! Well, thank God that'll never happen again!"
1918 - "Whew! Well, thank God that'll never happen again!"
1945 - "Whew! Well, thank God that'll never happen again!"


Are we at a 1938 level of war warning? No, not yet. Something more akin to 1934, I think. Anyone who casts an educated eye on the world geopolitical situation and can't see a major international fracas looming on the horizon is a fool. The problem is that wars are not triggered by invasions, but rather by seemingly insignificant incidents: the assassination of a minor noble, for instance.

Pretty much everyone agrees that while it wasn't ideal, the annexation of a portion of one small country was perfectly understandable. I mean, they do speak the same language, right? And it's just a part of one small country that used to be theirs anyway, so it's really not anything to get excited about. He got what he stated he wanted, so stop antagonizing him.

I'm speaking of Czech, of course.

1 Comments:

Blogger Davis14633 said...

I think the only difference between then and now is that our relationship with Japan is more economically beneficial for them than it was back in the 30's and 40's. As to where the next big war is going to kick off, well, it's going to be the usual spots. Though I believe it will start more East Europe, there is a good chance it will center more Southernly between Middle East and Eastern Europe and it will be a religious war for one side. More of a reverse Crusades. The Religion of Peace(Patent pending) can't stand other religions and the "Decadence" of the West and every other religion. It is my opinion that the radical Muslims are a minority, but then so were the Nazis, until they took power.

08:25  

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